Leadership is (could be) magic

I just posted a new version of my presentation The Lost Arts of Leadership. This is an editing of my first YouTube video, which adds a new intro and removes some of the extraneous noises and distractions from the original posting.

I gave the original of this presentation as a keynote to the Kanban Global Summit in San Diego in August 2022. This version is a moderate revision of that address.

By the way, this is my third YouTube video. It’s taking me a little while to develop fluency in iMovie — a long way from fingerspitzengefuehl — but they say that as you get older, you should keep learning new things. I’ll let you know.

The Penn and Teller video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lo5BRAKvJoA

PDF of slides: https://slightlyeastofnew.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/leadership-is-magic-youtube-final.pdf

Notes to accompany the lecture: https://slightlyeastofnew.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/notes-to-accompany-tlaol-youtube.pdf

Original presentation at the Kanban Global Summit in San Diego in 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGcSg-gEFhA&t=2s

Changes to Patterns of Conflict

I’ve posted a short (17 min) YouTube video on a couple of major changes John Boyd made to Patterns of Conflict after its “final” publication date of December 1986.

(my second ever YouTube video)

Here are links and references included in the description box of the video:

Reference to the Fortune article: “How CEO Larry Culp pulled off the turnaround of the century,” by Shawn Tully, Fortune, posted July 23, 2026.

Snowmobiles and Grand Ideals: https://www.usmcu.edu/Outreach/Marine-Corps-University-Press/Books-by-topic/MCUP-Titles-A-Z/Snowmobiles-and-Grand-Ideals

Grant Hammond’s book, the Mind of War

AGLX: https://www.aglx.com Click on “Podcasts” for the “No Way Out” collection of podcasts on subjects related to Boyd’s work. Lots of interviews, including me.

Mind control in leadership and strategy. Download “The Lost Arts of Leadership” and its accompanying notes from the Articles tab at Slightly East of New: https://slightlyeastofnew.com/439-2/

New articles on Goodhart and WFH

Graphic courtesy of Apple Image Playground

Quick note about a couple of recent articles.

First, from Steve Denning at Forbes, “Jack Welch Called It ‘The Dumbest Idea.’ HBR Article Wants To Bring It Back,” June 19, 2026 (may be firewalled).

Citing Goodhart’s Law, “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure” (the Strathern formulation, incidentally), Denning observes that:

Turning a customer satisfaction score into a floor to protect shareholder returns guarantees the metric will be gamed.

Denning doesn’t mention this, but in the process, you make yourself increasingly vulnerable to competitors who can deliver more of what customers want to buy, often increasing shareholder returns in the process.

And then, Wharton researchers Adam Grant, Marissa Shandell, and Courtney Elliott published “The Secret Reason Bosses Want Everyone Back in the Office, Every Day of the Week,” in The New York Times, June 22, 2026.

They note that roughly one-third of American companies now mandate 100% attendance in the office, every day. Why is this? Teamwork? Cohesion? Productivity? Their research points to a different explanation:

We surveyed thousands of executives, middle managers and frontline supervisors on a host of personality traits. When we later asked them about their stances on hybrid and remote work, their answers didn’t correlate with how much they trusted their employees or how much they loved being around people. The only trait that consistently predicted objections to remote work was narcissism — the tendency to be self-centered and entitled. The higher the opinions of themselves leaders expressed, the more they coveted power and status — and the more they favored return-to-office mandates.

This was a big theme in my presentation at the Kanban Global Summit in August 2022, that focusing on where people work, as contrasted with what they and their teams accomplish, is not leadership. You can find that presentation and its accompanying notes,on our Articles page, and watch the video on YouTube.

Yet another update to “Logical end of the K-shaped economy.”

New York Magazine has just published a long article on airline economics, centered on its most profitable element, Delta Air Lines: “We Love Delta. We Hate Delta — It’s been a hellish time to travel, but one airline is winning by catering to the elite. Good luck to everyone in coach.” by Ben Ryder Howe.

Here’s a quote from near the end:

“The industry is moving toward elite clientele,” says Stephen Milstrey, a veteran airline network planning and scheduling executive who has routed planes for Virgin America and Frontier. “Eventually the big airlines will minimize the main cabin and let Frontier and Allegiant handle those people.”

Or, as is happening in Japan, according to the article, they can just stay home. With the demise of Spirit, my guess is that this opens up competitive space for someone who can figure out how to exploit it. Not necessarily another airline.

If you have Apple News, you can find the article at: https://apple.news/ARKzMW_FGRIigjAkpBzD7bg

You can read “Logical end to the K-shaped economy” here: https://slightlyeastofnew.com/2026/01/21/logical-end-of-the-k-shaped-economy/

Updates

1. To “Logical End of the K-Shaped Economy“

From “The Economy Cabin on Airplanes Keeps on Shrinking,” by Dean Seal in The Wall Street Journal, March 22, 2026:

Premium economy seats can be priced at least twice as high as regular economy seats and only take up slightly more room on the plane, according to a report from Global Tourism Forum. For bigger airlines, selling more premium seats helps subsidize spots in their economy cabins at prices competitive with low-cost carriers.

“Delta got more revenue in the fourth quarter from premium ticket sales, which were up 9%, than from the main cabin, where sales fell 7%. Premium revenue outgrew basic economy sales at United in 2025. Both carriers soared past their peers in profitability last year.

So the smaller the economy cabin becomes, the more money airlines make.

2. To “Cracker Barrel Succumbs to Boyd“

From “The Company Where Driving the Wrong Car to Work Can Get You a Ticket,” by Ryan Felton in The Wall Street Journal, March 25, 2026 (that company being Stellantis):

The crackdown has reignited the debate over a longstanding practice in Detroit, where automakers have encouraged employees to spend their paychecks on company-made vehicles—with preferential parking as a perk.

On the other hand:

A Ford spokesman said the company doesn’t designate parking spots for company and competitor vehicles at its corporate facilities.

You might think that an organization in as much trouble as Stellantis would do everything it could to ensure that its members share a clear understanding of how their cars stack up against their competitors’. The people running Stellantis might take to heart the admonition offered by Admiral James Stockdale:

You must never confuse faith that you will prevail in the end — which you can never afford to lose — with the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be. (Jim Collins, Good to Great, p.85)

“Confronting” means more than just looking over tables of data. It implies the mental courage to form a deep understanding — overcoming emotional attachments — and shared through the organization, of how we stack up against our competitors. If I were running Stellantis, I would give bonuses to employees (hourly or salaried or exec) who buy cars from manufacturers in the top 10 of the J.D. Power survey.

Cracker Barrel succumbs to Boyd

The skyscraper formerly known as the Sears Tower. Chicago, Illinois.

Robert Coram described “Destruction and Creation” as “having a specific gravity approaching that of uranium.” While apt (you can download a copy from our Articles page and draw your own conclusion), Boyd distilled its essence down to a couple of cogent sentences:

According to Gödel we cannot—in general—determine the consistency, hence the character or nature, of an abstract system within itself. According to Heisenberg and the Second Law of Thermodynamics any attempt to do so in the real world will expose uncertainty and generate disorder.

Examples are not hard to find. In a recent column for Inc.com, “Cracker Barrel wanted to cut costs. Instead, it damaged its own brand–again,” author Minda Zetlin noted that the company has gone through a series of mis-steps that define the cliche “mind boggling.” First, they decided to modernize the logo by eliminating anything associated with their homey, country theme — the old man and even the cracker barrel itself — then they got rid of the antiques on the wooden walls (and repainted them an androgynous white).

There was an immediate customer backlash, driving the share price down almost 50%. As Ms. Kalin notes, they did learn from the experience. Sort of. Going into frantic reverse, the company squelched both initiatives. But then, they turned around and did something almost as, shall we say, ineffective. In a panic to cut costs, they issued a directive requiring employees, if at all possible, to only eat at Cracker Barrels while traveling. Once leaked, comments on the directive were brutal. Many were along the line of “even their own employees have to be forced to eat there.”

Ms. Kalin, however, reaches a deeper, more strategic, even Boydian, conclusion: ” … it can prevent employees from checking out other restaurants, looking to see what the competition is doing or discovering new and innovative approaches.” She surmises that the root cause of their problems was that Cracker Barrel execs “were so used to looking at the world from inside their company that they forgot how things looked from the outside.” In other words, success at playing the game inside the company is what got you rewarded and promoted, and over time, this internal focus warped their orientation. As Boyd predicted:

Put another way, we can expect unexplained and disturbing ambiguities, uncertainties, anomalies, or apparent inconsistencies to emerge more and more often. 

I noted this effect, and suggested several antidotes in Certain to Win, chapter VI. Ms. Kalin insists, rightly, that senior execs should interact with customers and “customer-facing employees as part of their regular workweek.” But also, these same senior leaders, not just employees who happen to be on the road, should experience the competition regularly and first hand. Finally, organizations need mechanisms to take all this tactical, front-line knowledge and ensure that it influences their (common implicit*) orientation. Thus are effective actions taken.

In this regard, a shout out to Ford CEO Jim Farley, who imported a Xiaomi SU7, drove it for a while, and described it as “fantastic!” praising its its superior technology, quality, and, specifically, its seamless smartphone integration. There may be hope for Ford.

Here’s a video review of the car, so you can see what he’s talking about.


*As explained on Organic Design 23 (available from our Articles page).

As an aside, last Sunday evening, before seeing this article but aware of CB’s problems, I was returning with a companion from the Rowdy Gaines Invitational Swim Meet in Orlando. Starting with temperatures that broke a 90-year record cold, it had been a long day. So when we stopped for the night in Palm Coast, we wanted some place for dinner that was warm, quick, and close. As luck would have it, there was a Cracker Barrel around the corner. Although it had been a couple of years since my last visit to their chain, it was familiar as soon as we walked in: the roaring fireplace, folksy artifacts, and natural wood walls. Familiar menu, quick service, and a hoot of a waitress. Somehow, it felt like going home. Now why in the world would you want to take that brand and turn it into “just another restaurant”?

Boyd Day in Erie, PA

Erie, Pennsylvania

This just in from Brian (Ponch) Rivera:


I’m happy to pass along some excellent news from Erie, PA: The Erie School District has decided to officially observe January 23 as John Boyd Day across all its schools, beginning this year (2026) and continuing annually.

Mark Squeglia, a lifelong Erie resident and strong advocate for Boyd’s legacy there, has been keeping Mark McGrath* and me updated on the progress. He and Brian Lasher (retired Navy veteran and Erie Public Schools teacher) first approached the Erie School Board about 15-18 months ago with a proposal to rename Harding Elementary after Boyd. Community feedback at public sessions was heavily in favor of keeping the Harding name (due to longstanding tradition and attachment, not opposition to Boyd), so after discussions with Board President Dr. Jay Breneman (also a veteran), they pivoted to building awareness and education first.

As a result, Brian Lasher worked with another district teacher to put together age-appropriate biographies and introductory materials tailored for elementary, middle, and high school levels. These will be shared internally with staff and students, and posted on the district website, to introduce Boyd’s life, his revolutionary ideas (like the OODA loop and its applications in strategy, decision-making under uncertainty, and beyond military contexts), and his Erie roots.

This inaugural John Boyd Day will be modest—focused on these educational resources as a starting point—but the intent (from Jay, Brian, and the board) is to use it as the foundation for ongoing recognition and exposure. Longer-term ideas include expanding efforts at Strong Vincent High School, potentially naming an auditorium, or revisiting other honors once the community is more familiar with Boyd’s story.

There’s a recent Erie Times-News article covering the announcement (from around January 20, 2026)—link below (paywalled).

/https://www.goerie.com/story/news/education/2026/01/20/erie-pa-school-district-observes-john-boyd-day-on-jan-23/88179462007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=true&gca-epti=z115214p115450c115450d00—-v115214d–51–b–51–&gca-ft=193&gca-ds=sophi

This seems like a meaningful, collaborative win after all the effort, and I wanted to make sure everyone is looped in promptly.


Brian “Ponch” Rivera
No Way Out Podcast
AGLX, LLC
The Flow Consortium
www.aglx.com

*Mark McGrath is Chief Learning Officer of AGLX and Ponch’s co-host on the No Way Out podcasts.